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Originally Posted by buddahfan I never said he would hit a wall at 10 minutes a game. So on that I agree with you.
Over 15 minutes he will hit the wall if he plays in all the games.
Last year he only played 1,000 minutes no back to back games and very little travel.
At say 20 minutes a game that is an increase of about 50% in minutes, plus all the back to backs plus a significant increase in hotel time and air travel. The last two; i.e,. hotel time and the amount of air travel are the hardest adjustments to deal with.
If you have done a lot of air travel especially cross country type stuff you know how physically and mentally draining it can be. Plus there will also be a lot more pressure on him this year, being with the Pistons.
He will probably hit a wall if he plays much over 1,250 minutes this coming year.
Does that mean he won't be effective? No. I won't say that
However, after the all star game he will probably develop tired legs and most likely lose some of his quickness and explosiveness at that time, which will negatively impact his outside game and his rebounding for the remainder of the season.
I hope I am wrong on this. We will just have to wait and see. Flip might not even give AJ as much as 15 minutes a game, yet alone 20 a game, so it could turn out to be a non issue.  |
He will be playing a lot less than a lot of guys with a lot older legs and a lot more weight they are carrying around. He might hit a wall but I would suspect it would be a mental wall more than a physical one.
He will get the All star break off unless he's in the dunk contest and it wouldn't be the end of the world if Flip sat him down for a game or cut him down to 5 or 6 mins every now and again. (You know, what we should have done with Darko).
Maybe Nazr will actually play well and deserve 35 mins occasionally (insert raucous laughter here)...
And although there are 4 out of 5's and back to backs they do also sometimes get weeks with only 1 or two games and loooooooooong home stands.