I thought it might be interesting to assess our own player evaluations...
This is based on the honor system (we didn't guess every players abilities correctly).

Lotto picks don't count (guessing Yao would be a player doesn't take a lot of insight)

There are four categories:

1) Players you thought would have been further along now (amount of PT is not considered)

2) Players you thought would do well when there wasn't much public recognition when they were drafted.... and they did!

3) Players that have done better than you thought they would

4) Players that haven't done much yet but you think will still take off


Ok I'll start with my confessions:

1) Players I thought would be better by now...
Brendan Haywood
Jerome James
Carlos Arroyo
Jumaine Jones
Jamal McGloire
Jason Maxiell
Jeff McInnis
Chris Mihm
Olowokandi
Vasillis Spanolis

2)Underrated players that I predicted would do better than their draft position: (and they did):
Sammy Dalembert
Willie Green
David Lee
Gerald Wallace
Earl Watson
Leandro Barbosa
Jason Terry

3)Players that have done better than I thought they would:
Caron Butler
Carlos Boozer
David West
Gilbert Arenas
Memo
Walter Hermann

Now the hard one:
4) Players that I think will still have good success even though they've started slowly:

Desagna Diop
James Posey
Mikael Pietrus
Johan Petro
Luke Ridnuar
Jamal Tinsley
Loius Williams
Amir Johnson
Alex Acker

Wanna give it a try?

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Player I thought would be further along...

1) Dwight Howard (it's not hard to power dunk when you are big, where is the refinement?)
2) Kareem Rush
3) Brian Cook
4) JMax
5) Amir Johnson (yeah, I was hoping for more from him on the perimeter)
6) Adam Morrison
7) Johan Petro
8) Martell Webster

Players you thought would do well when there wasn't much public recognition when they were drafted.... and they did!

1) Chris Duhon (a second rounder folks)
2) Monta Ellis
3) Jarret Jack
4) Alex Acker
5) Danny Granger

I'm not a big draft buff. Apparently I am unable to evaluate big men.

Players that have done better than I thought they would:

1) Joey Graham
2) Andrew Bynum
3) Andrea Bargnani
4) Tyrus Thomas
5) Renaldo Balkman
6) Kris Humphries (figured he was just a throw-in on the Haffa trade)
7) Jorge Garbajosa (FA rookie)
8) Al Jefferson

Players that I think will still have good success even though they've started slowly:

1) Ersan Ilyasova
2) Thabo Selofosha
3) Mikael Gelabale
4) Lawrence Roberts
5) Ronny Turiaf
6) Marvin Williams

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Momma was queen of the mambo, Poppa was king of the congo, deep down in the jungle, I start banging my first bongo
Every monkey like to be, in my place instead of me, cause I'm the king of bongo baby, I'm the king of bongo bong
-Manu Chao

Great topic.