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It's time to start thinking about your preseason predictions. The predictions thread will be a nice change, allowing us ...

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Old 09-23-2005, 02:01 AM
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mercury mercury is offline
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Lightbulb NBA Season prediction discussion

It's time to start thinking about your preseason predictions.
The predictions thread will be a nice change, allowing us to review each persons picks and reasoning.

Each year we've taken predictions on:
  • Team records in the East & West Conference
  • Playoff seeds
  • Winners in each round of the playoffs right through the finals
  • Any comments to support your picks
It's still too early to take these predictions since final rosters aren't set.

I'd like to solicite some opinions on the format of the predictions.

Please answer your choices

What date would you like to see the final predictions in by?
  1. The same day the season starts
  2. A week into the season
  3. Other (comments)
How would you like to see the final results taken?
  1. Split winners of those who picked best records in their conf from those that predicted playoffs & Finals winners.
  2. An average scale of those that were closest to predicting where teams would finish in their conf. and playoff success (a combined average).
  3. Just list everones results (no bragging rights)
  4. Anyone who predicted the finals winner is top dog
  5. Other (what would you do differently)
This year opinions will be taken into consideration.
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Old 09-23-2005, 12:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mercury
  • Team records in the East & West Conference
  • Playoff seeds
  • Winners in each round of the playoffs right through the finals
  • Any comments to support your picks
I would like to include predictions for the individual player awards. MVP, Defensive Player, etc..

Quote:
Originally Posted by mercury
Please answer your choices

What date would you like to see the final predictions in by?
  1. The same day the season starts
  2. A week into the season
  3. Other (comments)
The same day the season starts.

Quote:
Originally Posted by mercury
How would you like to see the final results taken?
  1. Split winners of those who picked best records in their conf from those that predicted playoffs & Finals winners.
  2. An average scale of those that were closest to predicting where teams would finish in their conf. and playoff success (a combined average).
  3. Just list everones results (no bragging rights)
  4. Anyone who predicted the finals winner is top dog
  5. Other (what would you do differently)
This year opinions will be taken into consideration.
Split Winners (regular season, playoffs)
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Old 09-23-2005, 01:27 PM
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Thumbs up answers

1.I agree with with Motown but I wouldn't include individual teams record (too complicated).

2. Completely agree with Motown.

3. I'll go for the bragging rights. Winner takes all.
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Old 09-23-2005, 01:30 PM
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I will format and provide a page within the forum for the end data.

I will also kick out a prize to a master winner so we will need a tie-break mechanism based upon secondary predictions.

Great idea Merc, keep it rolling!
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Old 09-23-2005, 10:30 PM
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predictions

I think a prediction of playoff seeds would be fun. Everyone picks #1-#8 in both conferences.

You could score it by just adding the differences in finish and predicted finish. For example, if you predicted San Antonio #1 in the West and they finished #4, you get 3 points. Just add this 3 points to the other 15 differences. The smallest number of points is the winner.

I think predictions should be due by the opening tipoff of the first game.
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Old 09-23-2005, 10:43 PM
Lee356 Lee356 is offline
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What I did the last couple of years

I took predictions between the end of the preseason and end of the first week of the regular season.

I never really scored who did best in playoff predictions, as the exact matchups are really near impossible to predict. All you can do there really is predict who the Eastern and Western Champs will be and predict who will win the Championship. Here, I would just list predictions. (By the way, with this threaded forum though, it really is not needed as people can just read the thread.

On finish order, what I did is gave a point for each team you picked to make the playoffs. Then, I gave a bonus point for each of those teams you got within 2 positions of their actual finish. To restate this, I just wrote down each person's top 8 teams. Each of those 8 teams that made the playoffs earned that person one point. If you predicted a team to get 3rd best record, and that team got 1 thru 5, you got the bonus point.
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Old 09-23-2005, 11:36 PM
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Lee356

Huh?

I think Bill Laimbeer's system is simpler and would be as effective, lol
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Old 09-24-2005, 12:38 AM
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Merc

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lee356
On finish order, what I did is gave a point for each team you picked to make the playoffs. Then, I gave a bonus point for each of those teams you got within 2 positions of their actual finish. To restate this, I just wrote down each person's top 8 teams. Each of those 8 teams that made the playoffs earned that person one point. If you predicted a team to get 3rd best record, and that team got 1 thru 5, you got the bonus point.

Whatever we do, Merc, let's not do it this way.
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Old 09-24-2005, 01:03 AM
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ggazoo

roflmaooooo!
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Old 09-24-2005, 01:24 AM
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I apologize.

I can't stop laughing.
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