I finally took a look at the history of the Pistons franchise. I charted each year's winning percentage from 1948 to 2005. When it is in graph form, it is a little easier to see patterns. Here is what I noticed: There tends to be about 14 years between extreme crashes (1948 .367)(1965 .275)(1979 .195)(1993 .244)(2007 ???) We are currently on a streak of 5 consecutive seasons without a winning % setback, which is the most in Pistons' History. There have only been 2 periods in history where the team has had more than 2 consecutive winning seasons; the Bad Boys (9), and the current team (5). There appears to be natural mini-cycles that have a 7 year span. These mini cycles present a clear pattern, but have distinct abberation points that deviate from that pattern for certain years. 1997-98 is a year that stands out as worse than it should have been. 1974-75 and 1975-76 also look like they should have been better. So I looked at the history to see what made those years stand out, if anything. 1974-75: This was the year that Bill Davidson bought the team. Dave Bing and Don Adams held out at the beginning of the season. 1975-76: Pistons traded Bing for Kevin Porter, who then injured his knee and missed 3/4 of the season. The Pistons fired their coach and hired Herb Brown. 1997-98: Pistons traded Theo Ratliff, Aaron McKie, and Otis Thorpe (!!!). Coach Collins was fired, and we got Gentry. What can all this tell us about the next 5 years? To me, it looks like the natural cycle of team building is not on our side. We will need to find undiscovered talent, or have one of our prospects turn into another Tayshaun Prince, or else salaries will pile up, talent will leave, and we'll be in rebuilding mode. Of course, this is not revolutionary. We all know that is a danger. But seeing the graph makes me realize that Joe will have a battle on his hands to maintain. If he succeeds, it will be historic.