I missed the first half so no comment there, but I agree with you from what I saw of the second and overtime. I think Orlando is playing as good as they can play right now, and the Cavs are playing below the level they played most of the year. And three of the games still came down to the last or nearly last possession. Still, large ball beats small ball anytime. And if the Cavs don't figure that out really soon they're going to be in a boat drowning some worms.
While sitting on my couch, I was on pins and needles watching that game. I felt like if I made any sudden movements (like reaching for my drink on the coffee table) I was going to send LeBron to the line.
That was stupid. If they had done what they did to start the overtime, they would've won this in regulation. It's amazing how frustrated LeBrowns are. They're like the prom queen who is so mad that a new girl in town is getting all the attention. You can almost picture LeBron stomping his feet screamin "I hate him! I hate him! I hate him!" in his hotel room.
If they do, that would be exactly same thing that the Pistons did to the Lakers in 2004. A 5 game sweep. Oh yes, and it will be quite sweet even though it's a team other than the Pistons doing it.
Agreed. I'd say that Cleveland has a 36% chance still. 85% chance of winning each home game and a 50% chance of winning back at Orlando. .85 x .85 x .50 = .36 I guarantee you that if they stay at home on the 3-point shooters and force Dwight to put on an ugly low post clinic, they will administer a beat down and take back the momentum.
Do the Cavs still pose for a picture taken by LeBron before the game starts now. Wonder how will they pose on Thursday....
I think there has to be some dynamic component to these probabilities of winning each individual game. In other words, if Cleveland wins game 5, then the probability that they win game 6 goes up a bit. And if they win game 6, the probability that they win game 7 would, I think, be higher than the probability that they would win game 5. They will be on a roll coming into game 7. But I would also assign a lower probability that they will win game five. I would venture this guess: .6 (game 5) X .55 (game 6) X .9 (game 7) = 29.7%
Probably true. But game 7 would be more like 99.999999%. All Orl has done has been to win 1 game in Cle. Cle only lost 1 real game there in the entire reg season (before the games became insignificant). It will be almost impossible for the Magic to repeat that feat. They have to win their remaining home game in Orl.
It really is. The Magic mentioned how they were talking smack constantly in Game 4. They seem to be in shock that the Magic are taking it to them. This is exactly what i'm afraid of. Fortunately, i don't think MB will alter the strategy much. The only think i see him doing is putting LBJ at the 4 more and going small.
I thought that I read in the Denver Post this morning that Orlando is 11 and 3 in their last 15 games vs the Cavs. ...that's kinda crazy if it's correct.
Mo Williams strikes again The Courtside View: Seen and heard during Game 4 of the Cavaliers and Magic - cleveland.com Um . . .
If that is true, then I take back my odds calculation. They must truly present a bad match-up and MB must not be very good at adapting.
Maybe MB is still game-planning for Darko. Someone needs to tell him that he plays for the Grizz now.
There is no way to defend against the Darko hook, so it actually doesn't take much effort to prepare for. As a coach, you just have to concede that he's going to hurt you and try to win the other match-ups to make up for it.
Yup, Magic fans keep telling how good they've been in the Cav's home court. I believe they would have one more to the win column there if one of the NBA crook refs didn't call a phantom foul. (It was a three second on Dwight.)
