I can't believe that score. Now I'm scared we might lose to Algeria. There are 9 possible scenarios for the third set of games, 4 of those 9 scenarios mean we are sure to advance. One more of the remaining 5 scenarios means we have a good chance to advance, but it's not a sure thing. Slovenia plays England and we play Algeria next week. If Slovenia wins: We can tie or beat Algeria and we will advance to the elimination rounds as the 2-seed from our group. If England wins: We must beat Algeria to tie England for first place in the group. From there, goal differential will decide seeding. We are currently tied with England in that department (because both of us tied both of our games). In short, we are sure to advance and can be the 1 seed if we overtake England in goal differential. If Slovenia and England tie and...: ...we beat Algeria, we advance automatically in a tie with Slovenia for the top seed. The same goal-differential rules apply. Slovenia leads us by a goal due to beating Algeria by one goal and then tying us (see earlier post on absurd referee). ...we tie Algeria, we end up in a tie with England for the 2nd seed. Again, goal differential tiebreaker applies. Since both the US and England will have tied all three games, it goes to total goals scored. We currently have a two-goal lead on England in this department, and so are likely to advance as the second seed in this scenario. Got all that? Bottom line, if we win, we advance. If we tie, we need some help. If we lose then we (deservedly) go home. Have fun thinking about it all week. US plays Algeria on Thursday.